What will it take
for people to care about climate change? For some, the thought of a crummier
cup of coffee in the morning just might do it.
A new study finds
that Ethiopia, the world's fifth-largest coffee producer, could lose up to 60%
of its suitable farming land by the end of this century because of climate
change.
The study,
published Monday in Nature Plants, found the combination of low rainfall and
rising temperatures could have substantial effects on the coffee-growing areas
in the country.
As temperatures
steadily climb, so does the demand from coffee junkies, who might not be able
to find a cup of Joe that's up to their standards.
According to
a report from World Coffee Research, the demand for
coffee will have doubled by 2050, but the suitable land to grow it on will be
cut in half.
And the effects of
climate change don't just lower how much coffee is produced -- they can also
hamper its quality.
Cooler temperatures
allow the coffee to ripen more slowly -- and that means more time to develop
more complex flavor elements like acidity and sweetness.
But when
temperatures rise, as they have slowly been doing in Ethiopia for years, the
warmth causes the coffee to ripen too quickly, which means less flavorful
beans.
A shift in quality
is the main difference consumers will see. Even though a decline in suitable
farming land would logically lead to a decline in supply, Neuschwander said
it's not likely that coffee drinkers will see any hike in price.
Even if production
drops in one country, such as Ethiopia, prices could drop at the same time in
other major coffee-exporting countries, like Brazil or Vietnam, Neuschwander
said.
Oh my goodness, thank you for this information! I am a coffee lover and definitely going to share this with my friends :(
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